Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000331 0.000372 0.000416 0.000467 0.000525 0.000588 0.000664
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000262 0.000320 0.000389 0.000478 0.000589 0.000724 0.000901
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000218 0.000284 0.000368 0.000483 0.000638 0.000842 0.001131
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000179 0.000245 0.000333 0.000462 0.000645 0.000901 0.001289
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000158 0.000225 0.000320 0.000464 0.000681 0.001001 0.001515
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000146 0.000217 0.000320 0.000484 0.000744 0.001146 0.001829
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000198 0.000302 0.000474 0.000757 0.001215 0.002031
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000177 0.000278 0.000451 0.000745 0.001240 0.002162
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000104 0.000169 0.000272 0.000456 0.000781 0.001348 0.002452
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000166 0.000277 0.000478 0.000847 0.001519 0.002882
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000156 0.000266 0.000472 0.000863 0.001598 0.003149
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000149 0.000261 0.000476 0.000896 0.001713 0.003506
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000140 0.000249 0.000468 0.000908 0.001793 0.003810
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000134 0.000246 0.000474 0.000948 0.001938 0.004286
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000129 0.000241 0.000477 0.000985 0.002081 0.004786
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000118 0.000225 0.000456 0.000966 0.002098 0.004991
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000113 0.000221 0.000458 0.000998 0.002236 0.005520
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000112 0.000224 0.000479 0.001073 0.002485 0.006382
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000106 0.000215 0.000468 0.001076 0.002561 0.006799
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000097 0.000201 0.000445 0.001045 0.002548 0.006967
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000094 0.000198 0.000450 0.001085 0.002721 0.007704
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000094 0.000203 0.000472 0.001169 0.003024 0.008898
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000090 0.000197 0.000466 0.001181 0.003135 0.009519